Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.770776 5.487103 6.239572 7.085733 8.007551 8.978270 10.074641
2024-12-15 3.963910 5.008149 6.172468 7.553327 9.132794 10.870136 12.912539
2024-12-22 3.203873 4.431997 5.880081 7.681071 9.828750 12.277305 15.248892
2024-12-29 2.769984 4.154048 5.867074 8.083368 10.815951 14.019180 18.001203
2025-01-05 2.396554 3.883507 5.809302 8.391098 11.668427 15.602198 20.591242
2025-01-12 2.037103 3.570525 5.647611 8.528339 12.285238 16.892335 22.840255
2025-01-19 1.679284 3.201106 5.361178 8.461051 12.612051 17.808037 24.629606
2025-01-26 1.453032 2.988434 5.259611 8.615276 13.208740 19.055731 26.836071
2025-02-02 1.259330 2.794509 5.158736 8.749594 13.766158 20.249887 28.982612
2025-02-09 1.024553 2.492700 4.863762 8.580261 13.891725 20.872500 30.398817
2025-02-16 0.829029 2.222803 4.586073 8.407640 13.990498 21.445488 31.744735
2025-02-23 0.697712 2.046969 4.437188 8.408635 14.319912 22.319277 33.483677
2025-03-02 0.567236 1.849711 4.237718 8.325829 14.534601 23.056228 35.077425
2025-03-09 0.516676 1.812717 4.308238 8.664658 15.367017 24.648917 37.830853
2025-03-16 0.433942 1.684631 4.203907 8.715791 15.773968 25.660920 39.821894
2025-03-23 0.402698 1.673497 4.309970 9.109539 16.696850 27.400843 42.812736
2025-03-30 0.365346 1.638575 4.366788 9.421150 17.500413 28.983903 45.609048
2025-04-06 0.314954 1.555932 4.323029 9.558755 18.038982 30.198841 47.916475
2025-04-13 0.252940 1.420488 4.159802 9.480661 18.238704 30.931098 49.567519
2025-04-20 0.218749 1.358870 4.139075 9.644768 18.813556 32.203010 51.971103
2025-04-27 0.187647 1.296663 4.109643 9.788598 19.355203 33.429927 54.320563
2025-05-04 0.141870 1.161010 3.905264 9.605033 19.367944 33.885638 55.597695
2025-05-11 0.104787 1.036190 3.707418 9.418158 19.363773 34.309628 56.828323